UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%UMBC

23.2%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -331

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 76

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 69

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricUMass Lowell

59.1MMH Power Index43.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency109.9

14.0Net Efficiency-2.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

65.5Tempo69.4

54.3%Effective FG%51.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

9.1Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–43.8), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–109.9), net efficiency (14.0–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.6–-5.6), offensive rebounding (35.1–25.2), free throw rate (37.9–34.1).

Final

UMBC

82—86

UMass Lowell

UMass Lowell by 4 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATUMass Lowell

33-65FG33-68

51.0%FG%49.0%

10-263PT3-13

38.0%3PT%23.0%

6-8FT17-21

75.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists17

13Turnovers8

3Steals5

1Blocks4

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	35	9-16	3-4	2-2	10	5	1	1	23
Ace Valentine	G	35	6-10	0-2	3-4	2	4	0	0	15
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	29	6-17	2-11	1-2	4	1	0	0	15
Devan Sapp	Guard	34	4-7	3-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Ashton Reese	Guard	23	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Regimantas Ciunys	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Brooks	Forward	28	10-13	0-0	4-5	13	2	1	2	24
Quinton Mincey	Guard	25	7-12	0-2	3-3	4	3	0	1	17
Ayinde Hikim	Guard	40	4-14	0-1	6-8	6	9	2	0	14
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly	Forward	16	6-10	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	12
Brayden O'Connor	G	38	2-8	1-4	2-3	4	2	0	0	7
Yuri Covington	Guard	29	2-6	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Cam Morris III	F	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Anthony Blunt	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.4

116.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

58.5%Effective FG%50.7%

59.6%True Shooting %55.1%

17.4%Turnover Rate11.0%

12.3%Free Throw Rate30.9%

40.0%3-Point Rate19.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

UMass Lowell won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.