Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.9%Virginia

32.1%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -212

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreWake Forest 75

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricWake Forest

68.9MMH Power Index57.6

119.0Offensive Efficiency112.4

101.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

17.2Net Efficiency2.7

5.2Strength of Schedule7.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.6Tempo70.2

55.0%Effective FG%52.8%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.1%

11.6Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–57.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–112.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.7), net efficiency (17.2–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–5.2), ball security (15.5–16.0), free throw rate (36.1–33.2).

Final

Virginia

47—66

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 19 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATWake Forest

16-57FG25-50

28.0%FG%50.0%

4-123PT10-21

33.0%3PT%48.0%

11-15FT6-7

73.0%FT%86.0%

27Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists13

7Turnovers17

7Steals4

3Blocks8

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reece Beekman	Guard	30	3-12	2-5	2-2	2	4	1	0	10
Jordan Minor	Forward	22	3-8	0-0	3-5	5	0	1	1	9
Isaac McKneely	G	36	2-10	0-2	4-4	5	0	0	0	8
Andrew Rohde	G	31	3-7	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Ryan Dunn	Forward	23	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	0	3	1	4
Leon Bond III	G	21	2-7	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	0	4
Jacob Groves	Forward	17	1-4	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Taine Murray	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Blake Buchanan	F	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	35	8-13	5-8	0-0	9	2	1	1	21
Boopie Miller	G	38	5-10	1-3	3-3	0	7	2	0	14
Andrew Carr	Forward	34	4-9	1-2	3-4	12	0	0	1	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	32	4-6	1-1	0-0	8	1	0	5	9
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	35	3-11	1-6	0-0	4	2	0	1	7
Parker Friedrichsen	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Zach Keller	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Marqus Marion	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

72.6Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency72.6

-29.4Net Efficiency29.4

31.6%Effective FG%60.0%

36.6%True Shooting %61.9%

10.9%Turnover Rate26.0%

26.3%Free Throw Rate14.0%

21.1%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.29Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.