Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Xavier

73.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -280

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 81

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreProvidence 89

Team Comparison

XavierMetricProvidence

49.5MMH Power Index54.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-3.2Net Efficiency1.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.0

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

71.7Tempo74.2

51.7%Effective FG%55.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-2.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Xavier

85—65

Providence

Xavier by 20 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATProvidence

32-63FG21-53

51.0%FG%40.0%

12-243PT8-30

50.0%3PT%27.0%

9-12FT15-22

75.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists12

8Turnovers10

6Steals5

3Blocks3

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Green	G	23	9-14	5-8	0-0	6	0	0	0	23
Desmond Claude	G	34	9-16	3-6	0-1	5	2	1	0	21
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	28	4-7	2-3	1-1	7	0	0	0	11
Quincy Olivari	Guard	24	3-10	2-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	35	1-4	0-1	6-8	5	8	2	0	8
Abou Ousmane	Forward	26	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	6
Dailyn Swain	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Sasa Ciani	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Lazar Djokovic	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Oduro	Forward	32	7-13	1-2	5-9	4	3	1	3	20
Devin Carter	Guard	34	6-17	2-9	4-6	7	4	1	0	18
Jayden Pierre	G	35	3-7	2-6	2-2	3	4	1	0	10
Ticket Gaines	Guard	35	1-6	1-6	2-2	3	0	2	0	5
Rich Barron	F	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	27	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Garwey Dual	G	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Rafael Castro	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

127.6Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency127.6

30.0Net Efficiency-30.0

60.3%Effective FG%47.2%

61.9%True Shooting %51.2%

12.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

19.0%Free Throw Rate41.5%

38.1%3-Point Rate56.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Xavier won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.