Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Florida State

37.9%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -164

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 80

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 78

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNotre Dame

58.7MMH Power Index49.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

108.5Defensive Efficiency111.2

3.4Net Efficiency-0.9

5.7Strength of Schedule4.7

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

71.8Tempo68.0

52.4%Effective FG%53.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.4Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (111.9–110.3), defensive efficiency (108.5–111.2), net efficiency (3.4–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.0–52.4), offensive rebounding (31.4–30.3).

Final

Florida State

67—58

Notre Dame

Florida State by 9 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNotre Dame

25-64FG23-55

39.0%FG%42.0%

4-143PT9-26

29.0%3PT%35.0%

13-15FT3-11

87.0%FT%27.0%

39Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists7

8Turnovers14

9Steals4

7Blocks2

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	19	5-12	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	13
Jamir Watkins	Guard	23	4-10	0-0	4-6	4	1	4	0	12
Jalen Warley	G	31	4-10	0-0	2-2	4	3	1	2	10
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	31	4-10	2-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Baba Miller	F	30	1-6	0-2	3-3	9	3	0	3	5
De'Ante Green	F	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	10	2-3	0-1	1-1	6	0	0	0	5
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	2	4
Cameron Corhen	F	14	1-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Chandler Jackson	G	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tom House	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	31	8-14	2-4	2-2	4	2	2	0	20
J.R. Konieczny	F	30	4-8	2-5	1-3	4	1	2	0	11
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	24	3-9	2-5	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Julian Roper II	Guard	26	2-9	2-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Logan Imes	G	26	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Carey Booth	F	23	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Kebba Njie	F	23	1-3	0-0	0-3	8	1	0	0	2
Matt Zona	Forward	17	0-1	0-1	0-3	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

102.0Offensive Efficiency88.3

88.3Defensive Efficiency102.0

13.7Net Efficiency-13.7

42.2%Effective FG%50.0%

47.1%True Shooting %48.2%

11.9%Turnover Rate21.8%

23.4%Free Throw Rate20.0%

21.9%3-Point Rate47.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Florida State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.