Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.5%Texas State

17.5%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -471

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 82

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 71

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricUL Monroe

49.4MMH Power Index30.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency117.1

4.3Net Efficiency-16.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

68.6Tempo71.7

51.3%Effective FG%48.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate40.6%

2.9Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–117.1), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.7), ball security (16.9–18.4), free throw rate (40.6–36.0).

Final

Texas State

67—54

UL Monroe

Texas State by 13 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

23-47FG20-59

49.0%FG%34.0%

6-113PT1-14

55.0%3PT%7.0%

15-23FT13-19

65.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists9

7Turnovers8

4Steals5

5Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Mason	G	35	7-17	1-3	1-3	2	3	0	1	16
Coleton Benson	G	19	5-5	4-4	1-1	1	0	1	0	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	28	3-3	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	2	10
Brandon Love	Forward	23	3-5	0-0	2-6	7	1	0	2	8
Davion Sykes	G	24	2-4	0-1	3-4	7	2	1	0	7
Elijah Tate	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Dylan Dawson	Guard	23	0-5	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Christian Turner	Forward	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chris Nix	Forward	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Dontae Horne	G	8	0-1	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	0	2

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makai Willis	C	22	4-8	0-1	3-4	7	0	0	0	11
Tyreese Watson	G	23	3-11	0-2	4-4	2	0	1	0	10
Tyreke Locure	Guard	27	3-12	0-4	2-2	7	3	3	0	8
Jerry Ngopot	F	20	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Jalen Bolden	G	33	2-7	0-1	1-4	3	2	0	0	5
Savion Gallion	Guard	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jacob Wilson	G	24	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Nika Metskhvarishvili	Forward	18	0-3	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	0	3
AD Diedhiou	Forward	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

110.7Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency110.7

21.5Net Efficiency-21.5

55.3%Effective FG%34.7%

57.8%True Shooting %39.7%

11.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

48.9%Free Throw Rate32.2%

23.4%3-Point Rate23.7%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Texas State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.