Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Louisiana

93.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -18.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1393

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 65

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricArkansas State

38.6MMH Power Index57.7

99.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.3

-10.9Net Efficiency7.8

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.0

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

64.1Tempo73.3

47.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-7.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).

Final

Louisiana

84—77

Arkansas State

Louisiana by 7 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATArkansas State

33-61FG24-50

54.0%FG%48.0%

5-133PT4-22

38.0%3PT%18.0%

13-16FT25-28

81.0%FT%89.0%

24Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists10

5Turnovers16

10Steals4

3Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hosana Kitenge	F	29	10-15	0-0	5-6	7	4	1	1	25
Kobe Julien	Forward	29	8-12	1-3	3-4	2	1	1	1	20
Themus Fulks	G	33	6-16	0-1	4-4	3	7	3	0	16
Michael Thomas	Guard	24	4-5	2-2	0-1	1	3	1	0	10
Joe Charles	Not Available	33	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	3	2	1	7
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	36	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Kyran Ratliff	F	9	1-3	0-1	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
London Fields	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	5-10	0-2	9-12	7	3	0	0	19
Izaiyah Nelson	F	25	7-10	0-1	3-3	8	0	0	4	17
Taryn Todd	Guard	24	4-7	1-3	3-3	3	2	0	0	12
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	29	2-6	1-4	4-4	4	1	1	1	9
Derrian Ford	G	26	2-4	0-2	4-4	3	3	0	0	8
Avery Felts	Guard	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Julian Lual	Guard	11	1-3	0-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Zane Butler	Guard	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Freddy Hicks	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Lado Laku	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

122.8Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency122.8

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

58.2%Effective FG%52.0%

61.2%True Shooting %60.8%

7.5%Turnover Rate22.8%

26.2%Free Throw Rate56.0%

21.3%3-Point Rate44.0%

3.80Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.