Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Bowling Green

8.9%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -1024

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 84

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricNorthern Illinois

54.7MMH Power Index29.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

13.5Net Efficiency-11.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

72.2Tempo69.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate21.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

9.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–111.6), net efficiency (13.5–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-4.7), offensive rebounding (31.7–29.2), free throw rate (39.6–38.7).

Final

Bowling Green

83—72

Northern Illinois

Bowling Green by 11 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

28-60FG23-54

47.0%FG%43.0%

3-153PT7-23

20.0%3PT%30.0%

24-33FT19-28

73.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds5

6Assists6

10Turnovers9

7Steals6

—Blocks7

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Rashaun Agee	F	30	8-9	0-0	8-9	9	4	1	24
Marcus Hill	G	38	6-17	0-0	8-13	4	1	4	20
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	28	4-7	0-1	4-4	8	0	1	12
Jason Spurgin	Center	31	3-9	1-5	3-4	10	1	0	10
Trey Thomas	Guard	17	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	7
DaJion Humphrey	G	24	2-6	0-3	0-1	1	0	0	4
P.J. Edwards	G	17	1-5	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	3
EJay Greer	Guard	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	37	9-19	2-8	7-10	2	1	3	0	27
Xavier Amos	F	28	5-12	2-6	4-6	8	1	0	3	16
Nasir Muhammad	PG	22	5-7	2-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	12
Quaran McPherson	G	18	2-5	1-1	1-4	3	0	0	0	6
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	27	2-6	0-2	1-2	4	3	0	0	5
Ethan Butler	F	27	0-3	0-2	4-4	4	0	1	3	4
Will Lovings-Watts	G	20	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	1	2
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zion Russell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

115.3Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency115.3

15.3Net Efficiency-15.3

49.2%Effective FG%49.1%

54.8%True Shooting %53.5%

13.8%Turnover Rate12.6%

55.0%Free Throw Rate51.9%

25.0%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.