App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%App State

57.4%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -135

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total143.5

Projected ScoreJames Madison 73

Team Comparison

App StateMetricJames Madison

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.4

9.2Net Efficiency1.1

-4.2Strength of Schedule1.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

64.9Tempo67.5

51.1%Effective FG%53.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.4), net efficiency (9.2–1.1).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.2–-4.2), recent form (7.9–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.1).

Final

App State

59—55

James Madison

App State by 4 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATJames Madison

25-54FG23-64

46.0%FG%36.0%

4-143PT3-17

29.0%3PT%18.0%

5-9FT6-7

56.0%FT%86.0%

42Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists10

23Turnovers13

8Steals17

7Blocks1

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	28	6-11	1-4	2-2	3	4	4	0	15
Justin Abson	F	25	6-9	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	4	12
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	4-8	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	1	8
Donovan Gregory	Forward	27	2-6	0-0	3-5	5	2	3	0	7
Xavion Brown	Guard	21	3-5	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	6
Terence Harcum	Guard	31	2-8	1-5	0-0	5	0	0	1	5
CJ Huntley	Forward	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	1	3
Christopher Mantis	Forward	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Marsh	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	35	9-21	0-3	1-1	5	4	4	0	19
Xavier Brown	G	23	4-9	2-5	0-0	1	1	5	0	10
Noah Freidel	Guard	35	2-10	0-4	2-2	5	0	3	0	6
T.J. Bickerstaff	Not Available	27	3-8	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	0	6
Julien Wooden	Forward	26	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Jaylen Carey	F	12	2-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	5
Raekwon Horton	Forward	20	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	2
Michael Green III	Guard	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bryant Randleman	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

87.7Offensive Efficiency81.7

81.7Defensive Efficiency87.7

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

50.0%Effective FG%38.3%

50.6%True Shooting %40.8%

34.2%Turnover Rate19.3%

16.7%Free Throw Rate10.9%

25.9%3-Point Rate26.6%

0.48Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

App State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.