Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%Incarnate Word

53.5%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -115

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 70

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 72

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricNorthwestern State

44.6MMH Power Index41.3

112.0Offensive Efficiency104.0

111.2Defensive Efficiency109.0

0.8Net Efficiency-5.0

-3.6Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

66.3Tempo63.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.5Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–104.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.2), strength of schedule (-1.6–-3.6), recent form (-4.9–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

71—97

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 26 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATNorthwestern State

21-52FG30-50

40.0%FG%60.0%

7-233PT9-17

30.0%3PT%53.0%

22-25FT28-35

88.0%FT%80.0%

17Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists17

15Turnovers17

11Steals7

2Blocks4

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skylar Wicks	G	31	5-12	2-5	5-6	5	1	4	0	17
Alex Anderson	G	21	4-7	0-0	7-7	0	0	1	0	15
Josh Akpovwa	F	15	6-7	0-0	2-3	4	1	1	0	14
Josiah Hammons	G	30	2-6	2-6	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Breno Silva	Forward	18	2-7	2-7	2-2	0	0	1	0	8
Elijah Davis	Guard	30	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	2	2	0	3
Dylan Hayman	Forward	21	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	1	1	2	3
Josh Morgan	Guard	15	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
TJ Ford Jr.	G	8	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Marcus Glover	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Davante Dennis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Beny Til	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimel Lane	F	28	7-11	3-4	3-4	6	1	1	1	20
Chase Forte	G	37	5-9	1-3	7-9	7	7	1	1	18
Duane Posey	G	24	5-8	0-0	6-7	5	1	2	0	16
Braelon Bush	G	27	3-4	0-0	8-8	3	3	1	1	14
Chris Mubiru	G	23	3-6	3-5	2-3	4	1	1	0	11
Justin Wilson	Forward	11	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
Cliff Davis	G	27	2-6	1-4	1-2	4	1	1	0	6
Karlin Hardy	SG	2	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jae Slack	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

95.6Offensive Efficiency130.6

130.6Defensive Efficiency95.6

-35.0Net Efficiency35.0

47.1%Effective FG%69.0%

55.6%True Shooting %72.8%

20.0%Turnover Rate23.1%

48.1%Free Throw Rate70.0%

44.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.