Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Cal State Fullerton

64.0%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -178

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal State Northridge

49.4MMH Power Index50

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.3Tempo75.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

1.3Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–49.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), net efficiency (2.1–1.7), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.3), recent form (2.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.0).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

71—76

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 5 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal State Northridge

22-58FG23-57

38.0%FG%40.0%

7-223PT7-17

32.0%3PT%41.0%

20-22FT23-32

91.0%FT%72.0%

36Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists14

15Turnovers15

12Steals14

2Blocks—

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	35	4-12	3-7	6-7	4	1	4	1	17
Grayson Carper	Guard	13	3-5	3-5	2-2	3	2	1	1	11
Donovan Oday	G	18	4-8	0-2	1-1	3	1	1	0	9
Zachary Visentin	Center	13	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
DJ Brewton	Guard	28	1-11	0-1	2-2	3	3	2	0	4
John Mikey Square	Not Available	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Beril Kabamba	Forward	23	0-3	0-2	4-4	5	0	0	0	4
Vincent Lee	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	30	4-9	1-1	8-10	6	1	2	17
Dionte Bostick	Guard	40	6-13	2-5	1-3	5	3	3	15
Jasman Sangha	Forward	16	5-9	0-0	5-5	4	0	1	15
Gianni Hunt	G	34	4-11	3-7	0-0	5	4	2	11
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	33	1-6	0-2	5-8	5	4	1	7
Mahmoud Fofana	F	24	1-3	0-0	2-4	9	1	2	4
Jared Barnett	Guard	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	2	3
Dearon Tucker	Center	12	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Bryan Ndjonga	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

96.1Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency96.1

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

44.0%Effective FG%46.5%

51.9%True Shooting %52.6%

20.4%Turnover Rate20.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate56.1%

37.9%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.