Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Southern Miss

72.7%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -266

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricTroy

49.9MMH Power Index54.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.2Net Efficiency8.7

-0.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

70.4Tempo70.4

49.9%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (8.7–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–2.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Southern Miss

56—82

Troy

Troy by 26 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATTroy

19-56FG26-62

34.0%FG%42.0%

4-193PT9-23

21.0%3PT%39.0%

14-20FT21-28

70.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds45

14Offensive Rebounds18

10Assists17

18Turnovers9

5Steals7

6Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Crowley	Guard	36	5-16	1-6	3-4	5	2	0	1	14
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	20	4-7	1-1	2-5	4	0	1	2	11
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	28	3-9	2-4	0-0	6	1	0	0	8
Mo Arnold	Guard	31	3-9	0-3	1-2	1	3	1	0	7
Donovan Ivory	Guard	30	2-9	0-3	2-2	2	1	1	1	6
Tegra Izay	C	14	2-2	0-0	2-3	6	0	1	2	6
Bryson Hall	Forward	21	0-1	0-1	4-4	6	3	0	0	4
Jose Benitez	Guard	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tate Ryder	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Fields	F	22	4-7	1-3	4-4	7	0	0	2	13
Tayton Conerway	G	23	5-12	0-3	2-4	3	5	2	0	12
Theo Seng	F	19	4-7	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Christyon Eugene	Guard	30	3-10	2-4	2-2	7	6	1	0	10
Myles Rigsby	G	19	1-1	0-0	5-6	1	0	0	0	7
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	16	1-8	1-5	3-4	1	1	1	0	6
Victor Valdes	F	20	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	3	1	1	5
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	9	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Randi Ovalle	Forward	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Randarius Jones	C	14	1-3	0-0	1-4	4	1	0	0	3
Thomas Dowd	F	18	0-2	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	0	2
Braydon Whitaker	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Marcus Friend	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Kameryn Mitchell	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

82.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency82.5

-38.3Net Efficiency38.3

37.5%Effective FG%49.2%

42.7%True Shooting %54.4%

25.9%Turnover Rate13.6%

35.7%Free Throw Rate45.2%

33.9%3-Point Rate37.1%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Troy won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.