Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Cal State Bakersfield

91.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -1011

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 70

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreUC Davis 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Davis

32.2MMH Power Index48.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

-12.4Net Efficiency3.5

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.9

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

73.0Tempo72.4

46.4%Effective FG%52.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

43.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-9.1Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

71—78

UC Davis

UC Davis by 7 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Davis

28-74FG20-58

38.0%FG%34.0%

5-183PT8-25

28.0%3PT%32.0%

10-15FT30-41

67.0%FT%73.0%

45Rebounds48

19Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists12

12Turnovers15

8Steals6

6Blocks6

29Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	40	6-19	3-9	2-2	6	2	2	0	17
Tom Mark	F	30	6-10	0-0	0-2	7	3	1	2	12
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	25	4-8	0-0	4-7	4	3	2	1	12
Corey Stephenson	G	31	4-8	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	35	3-10	2-8	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	0	6
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	13	2-10	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	3	0
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	37	3-10	2-4	14-14	7	5	2	0	22
Elijah Pepper	Guard	41	6-21	3-9	3-4	9	1	2	1	18
Kane Milling	Guard	31	2-5	2-4	5-5	3	1	0	0	11
Ade Adebayo	Forward	31	3-5	0-1	3-5	8	1	0	1	9
Niko Rocak	F	21	2-4	0-1	3-5	7	0	0	1	7
Francesco Borra	Forward	10	2-3	0-0	0-4	0	0	0	0	4
Sione Lose	Guard	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	31	1-8	0-4	0-0	8	4	1	0	2
Pablo Tamba	F	11	0-1	0-1	2-4	2	0	1	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

96.2Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency96.2

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

41.2%Effective FG%41.4%

43.8%True Shooting %50.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate20.4%

20.3%Free Throw Rate70.7%

24.3%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.