Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

84.1%Missouri State

15.9%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -529

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreEvansville 69

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricEvansville

51.1MMH Power Index31.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency98.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

2.1Net Efficiency-13.9

0.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.9Tempo68.0

51.8%Effective FG%50.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate30.8%

1.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–98.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–112.4), net efficiency (2.1–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.5).

Final

Missouri State

74—64

Evansville

Missouri State by 10 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATEvansville

26-56FG21-62

46.0%FG%34.0%

7-223PT12-27

32.0%3PT%44.0%

15-23FT10-15

65.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists13

7Turnovers9

3Steals—

6Blocks4

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
NJ Benson	F	34	10-14	0-0	2-5	13	0	0	3	22
Alston Mason	Guard	40	7-17	2-9	2-3	4	5	1	0	18
Donovan Clay	Guard	30	4-8	1-1	5-9	7	2	1	2	14
Raphe Ayres	Guard	30	4-5	4-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	14
Matthew Lee	Guard	34	0-5	0-4	2-2	4	5	1	0	2
Chance Moore	G	21	0-4	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	1	2
Cesare Edwards	Center	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Joshua Hughes	F	31	7-12	7-10	1-1	2	0	0	22
Antonio Thomas	Guard	36	4-13	2-5	5-6	4	3	0	15
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	34	3-10	1-5	2-5	10	2	0	9
Yacine Toumi	F	32	4-13	0-2	0-1	12	3	1	8
Tanner Cuff	G	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	5
Gage Bobe	Guard	30	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	3
Chuck Bailey III	G	16	0-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Sekou Kalle	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0
Cam Haffner	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

111.3Offensive Efficiency96.2

96.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

52.7%Effective FG%43.5%

55.3%True Shooting %46.3%

10.6%Turnover Rate13.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate24.2%

39.3%3-Point Rate43.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.