California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%California

41.6%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -140

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreOregon 74

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricOregon

56.5MMH Power Index48.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency106.4

104.8Defensive Efficiency110.7

7.0Net Efficiency-4.3

2.8Strength of Schedule6.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.9Tempo66.7

52.6%Effective FG%49.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

4.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.9), offensive efficiency (111.8–106.4), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.7), net efficiency (7.0–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–2.8), offensive rebounding (31.6–26.6), free throw rate (36.9–36.8).

Final

California

73—80

Oregon

Oregon by 7 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATOregon

28-63FG29-63

44.0%FG%46.0%

6-243PT10-28

25.0%3PT%36.0%

11-17FT12-19

65.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists11

5Turnovers4

3Steals2

1Blocks5

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	33	8-18	2-4	2-3	10	2	0	0	20
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	32	7-11	1-3	3-5	9	2	0	1	18
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	32	5-7	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	0	11
Jalen Cone	Guard	35	2-9	1-8	5-7	2	3	0	0	10
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	16	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Grant Newell	F	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Jalen Celestine	G	29	1-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Devin Curtis	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jermaine Couisnard	Guard	34	5-13	5-9	3-4	3	1	0	1	18
Jadrian Tracey	G	26	6-8	1-2	1-1	4	0	1	0	14
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	26	5-7	2-4	0-0	1	5	0	0	12
Jackson Shelstad	G	20	3-8	1-2	5-6	6	1	1	0	12
N'Faly Dante	Center	17	3-8	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	8
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	29	3-6	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	6
Kario Oquendo	Guard	11	2-7	1-5	0-2	2	1	0	0	5
Mahamadou Diawara	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	3
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	9	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	2	2
Mookie Cook	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

103.4Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency103.4

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

49.2%Effective FG%54.0%

51.4%True Shooting %55.5%

7.1%Turnover Rate5.6%

27.0%Free Throw Rate30.2%

38.1%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.80Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Oregon won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.