North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%North Dakota State

24.9%Omaha

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -302

Omaha

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 80

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreOmaha 73

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricOmaha

59MMH Power Index44.5

115.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency110.8

14.6Net Efficiency-0.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.5

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.5

69.6Tempo69.0

54.5%Effective FG%53.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

10.1Average Margin-0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-4.6), free throw rate (34.0–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

92—96

Omaha

Omaha by 4 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATOmaha

33-58FG35-66

57.0%FG%53.0%

11-243PT8-17

46.0%3PT%47.0%

15-20FT18-23

75.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds35

3Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists12

7Turnovers7

2Steals5

1Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	44	12-17	4-7	2-2	1	3	1	0	30
Andrew Morgan	Forward	34	9-13	0-1	6-11	7	1	0	0	24
Boden Skunberg	G	33	5-9	3-6	5-5	0	0	0	0	18
Jacari White	G	39	6-12	3-5	0-0	6	6	0	0	15
Tajavis Miller	G	36	1-2	1-1	2-2	7	3	0	1	5
Noah Feddersen	C	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jeremiah Burke	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lance Waddles	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Darik Dissette	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joshua Streit	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Fidler	Forward	45	11-19	4-6	8-9	12	2	1	1	34
JJ White	G	44	6-11	1-2	6-7	7	7	1	0	19
Marquel Sutton	F	38	8-15	1-2	2-3	5	1	1	0	19
Nick Davis	Forward	34	6-9	0-0	1-3	8	0	2	2	13
Tony Osburn	G	41	2-9	1-6	1-1	1	1	0	0	6
Ja'Sean Glover	G	15	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jamal Ambrose	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Stubblefield	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

125.7Offensive Efficiency131.1

131.1Defensive Efficiency125.7

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

66.4%Effective FG%59.1%

68.1%True Shooting %62.4%

9.8%Turnover Rate9.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate34.8%

41.4%3-Point Rate25.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Omaha won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.