Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Abilene Christian

90.7%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -975

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 63

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricCalifornia Baptist

42.4MMH Power Index58.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

104.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-3.0Net Efficiency7.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.6Tempo68.2

48.9%Effective FG%48.8%

20.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.1), net efficiency (7.5–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.9–48.8), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

Abilene Christian

53—68

California Baptist

California Baptist by 15 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

20-56FG23-57

36.0%FG%40.0%

1-123PT5-17

8.0%3PT%29.0%

12-17FT17-22

71.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists10

12Turnovers14

7Steals4

2Blocks6

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Airion Simmons	Forward	31	6-17	0-4	5-7	11	2	2	2	17
Leonardo Bettiol	F	25	7-9	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	15
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	31	4-10	1-4	4-5	3	3	1	0	13
Ali Dibba	G	39	2-9	0-1	2-2	5	0	2	0	6
Kavion McClain	F	25	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Cameron Steele	Forward	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Yaniel Rivera	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JV Seat	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	7-17	2-7	3-4	5	5	0	0	19
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	36	6-11	0-1	6-8	7	1	1	0	18
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	30	5-9	0-0	5-5	6	0	2	2	15
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	33	4-7	3-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	12
Kendal Coleman	Forward	17	1-4	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	1	4
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	8	3	0	0	0
Chris Chiles	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Griman	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	0
Scotty Washington	G	3	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Tylen Riley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

79.3Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency79.3

-22.5Net Efficiency22.5

36.6%Effective FG%44.7%

41.4%True Shooting %50.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate20.8%

30.4%Free Throw Rate38.6%

21.4%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.58Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.