Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Northern Colorado

62.2%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -165

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 76

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricMontana State

53.7MMH Power Index53.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

8.4Net Efficiency9.5

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.7

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.1Tempo68.1

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.0Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

81—90

Montana State

Montana State by 9 • 76.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATMontana State

31-63FG33-58

49.0%FG%57.0%

7-223PT6-15

32.0%3PT%40.0%

12-16FT18-24

75.0%FT%75.0%

26Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists13

11Turnovers14

4Steals10

3Blocks—

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	39	9-19	3-8	6-6	8	2	1	0	27
Brock Wisne	F	27	9-10	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	1	19
Dejour Reaves	G	18	4-11	2-6	1-2	3	1	1	1	11
Langston Reynolds	G	21	3-5	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	8
Jaron Rillie	Guard	35	2-8	0-2	2-2	4	8	0	0	6
Zach Bloch	G	31	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Theo Hughes	Center	10	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	1	2
Juju Ramirez	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brian Goracke	Forward	35	7-10	3-3	8-8	4	2	1	25
Brandon Walker	F	26	8-11	0-0	6-7	5	5	0	22
Eddie Turner III	Guard	35	7-12	2-3	2-2	4	1	1	18
Robert Ford III	Guard	37	6-13	1-5	1-4	12	3	4	14
Chika Nduka	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	1-3	1	1	2	5
Tyler Patterson	Guard	32	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	2
Jaden Geron	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2
Sam Lecholat	Forward	7	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.0Possessions76.0

106.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency106.6

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

54.8%Effective FG%62.1%

57.4%True Shooting %64.8%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

25.4%Free Throw Rate41.4%

34.9%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.55Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Montana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 76.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.