Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Oklahoma State

95.3%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2028

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 70

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreIowa State 91

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricIowa State

53.5MMH Power Index75.9

112.1Offensive Efficiency119.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency96.0

0.9Net Efficiency23.3

6.1Strength of Schedule4.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

74.8Tempo68.4

52.2%Effective FG%56.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

40.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

0.7Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–53.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–112.1), defensive efficiency (96.0–111.2), net efficiency (23.3–0.9).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.1–4.9), free throw rate (40.3–35.2).

Final

Oklahoma State

42—66

Iowa State

Iowa State by 24 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATIowa State

15-47FG27-58

32.0%FG%47.0%

7-243PT3-15

29.0%3PT%20.0%

5-14FT9-11

36.0%FT%82.0%

32Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists16

20Turnovers9

6Steals13

3Blocks3

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	20	4-7	1-2	3-4	4	1	0	0	12
Javon Small	Guard	33	3-11	2-6	0-0	4	2	1	1	8
Bryce Thompson	Guard	25	3-8	1-3	0-2	2	0	0	0	7
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
John-Michael Wright	Guard	15	2-5	1-3	0-2	0	0	1	1	5
Justin McBride	F	5	1-3	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Brandon Garrison	F	33	0-2	0-0	1-3	8	1	0	0	1
Jamyron Keller	G	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Quion Williams	G	28	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	4	3	1	0
Connor Dow	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mike Marsh	Center	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	30	5-12	0-2	7-8	3	4	5	0	17
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	5-10	2-5	0-1	6	2	0	0	12
Hason Ward	Forward	18	6-9	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	0	12
Tre King	Forward	29	4-8	1-3	2-2	7	0	1	2	11
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	20	3-7	0-2	0-0	1	5	1	0	6
Curtis Jones	Guard	30	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	5	3	0	2
Demarion Watson	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Jackson Paveletzke	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Omaha Biliew	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

65.6Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency65.6

-37.5Net Efficiency37.5

39.4%Effective FG%49.1%

39.1%True Shooting %52.2%

30.9%Turnover Rate14.2%

29.8%Free Throw Rate19.0%

51.1%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.