Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Idaho State

54.6%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -120

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSacramento State

45.9MMH Power Index43

111.0Offensive Efficiency106.1

113.4Defensive Efficiency112.0

-2.4Net Efficiency-5.9

0.2Strength of Schedule0.9

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

67.1Tempo73.2

52.2%Effective FG%48.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-1.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.1), net efficiency (-2.4–-5.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.5).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.0–113.4), strength of schedule (0.9–0.2), recent form (-7.8–-9.6).

Final

Idaho State

64—66

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 2 • 56.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSacramento State

26-50FG27-53

52.0%FG%51.0%

5-153PT4-11

33.0%3PT%36.0%

7-12FT8-9

58.0%FT%89.0%

16Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists13

5Turnovers14

7Steals3

4Blocks3

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	28	6-11	3-4	1-2	3	1	0	1	16
Kiree Huie	F	30	6-9	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	3	14
Maleek Arington	G	40	3-6	0-2	3-4	1	6	3	0	9
Isaiah Griffin	F	35	4-8	0-2	1-4	5	1	0	0	9
Brayden Parker	Center	34	4-11	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
AJ Burgin	Guard	17	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Trent Johnson	F	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zee Hamoda	G	30	7-8	1-1	2-3	4	1	0	0	17
Jacob Holt	Forward	13	5-8	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	2	12
Duncan Powell	F	32	3-12	0-2	4-4	8	1	1	0	10
Bailey Nunn	G	20	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Austin Patterson	Guard	30	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Akol Mawein	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	4
Emil Skytt	G	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	4
Bowyn Beatty	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Alex Kovatchev	G	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.5Possessions56.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency113.3

-3.5Net Efficiency3.5

57.0%Effective FG%54.7%

57.5%True Shooting %57.6%

8.8%Turnover Rate24.9%

24.0%Free Throw Rate17.0%

30.0%3-Point Rate20.8%

1.80Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 56.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.