Pepperdine

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Pepperdine

66.5%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego -199

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePepperdine 74

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreSan Diego 80

Team Comparison

PepperdineMetricSan Diego

38.2MMH Power Index39.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency106.2

113.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-10.4Net Efficiency-4.9

0.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

-10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

70.0Tempo70.1

48.7%Effective FG%52.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-7.3Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.8–38.2), offensive efficiency (106.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (111.1–113.6), net efficiency (-4.9–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-1.2), recent form (-10.3–-12.2), offensive rebounding (31.1–29.1).

Final

Pepperdine

83—77

San Diego

Pepperdine by 6 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PepperdineTEAM STATSan Diego

25-58FG30-53

43.0%FG%57.0%

7-223PT8-13

32.0%3PT%62.0%

26-36FT9-13

72.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds28

15Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists20

9Turnovers15

8Steals5

—Blocks3

13Fouls27

Player Box Score

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	36	5-13	1-3	13-18	12	2	0	24
Houston Mallette	G	36	6-15	5-10	6-6	2	5	0	23
Boubacar Coulibaly	Forward	31	7-9	0-0	3-5	4	0	3	17
Jevon Porter	F	33	2-9	0-3	3-3	9	2	3	7
Ethan Anderson	Guard	28	2-4	0-0	1-2	1	3	1	5
Cord Stansberry	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-2	0	0	0	3
Malik Messina-Moore	G	16	1-5	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	2
Nils Cooper	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	32	5-8	3-4	3-5	7	5	0	2	16
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	34	6-12	1-3	0-2	2	2	3	0	13
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	34	4-6	3-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	11
Deven Dahlke	Guard	16	4-4	1-1	2-2	2	2	1	0	11
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	22	4-7	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
Steven Jamerson II	F	35	4-9	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	1	8
Dragos Lungu	G	17	3-7	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	6
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Dominic Muncey	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

120.8Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency120.8

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

49.1%Effective FG%64.2%

55.3%True Shooting %65.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate22.0%

62.1%Free Throw Rate24.5%

37.9%3-Point Rate24.5%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Pepperdine won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.