Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Long Beach State

84.0%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -525

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 71

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricUC Santa Barbara

41.1MMH Power Index51.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency106.1

-4.0Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.2Tempo68.5

51.5%Effective FG%54.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (113.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.8), net efficiency (7.1–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), ball security (17.7–18.7).

Final

Long Beach State

76—85

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 9 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

28-60FG26-50

47.0%FG%52.0%

12-243PT10-20

50.0%3PT%50.0%

8-12FT23-27

67.0%FT%85.0%

29Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists17

15Turnovers13

8Steals8

2Blocks2

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Messiah Thompson	Guard	34	8-15	7-9	0-0	1	4	3	0	23
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	38	7-13	1-3	3-4	9	10	1	1	18
AJ George	G	35	4-6	1-1	3-5	2	4	1	0	12
Jadon Jones	G	26	4-10	2-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	10
Lassina Traore	F	32	4-5	0-0	1-1	6	1	2	1	9
Varick Lewis	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Amari Stroud	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Isa Silva	G	8	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	3	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Chayce Polynice	Center	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	38	7-15	3-7	9-9	4	5	1	0	26
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	32	5-12	1-3	6-8	7	6	3	1	17
Cole Anderson	Guard	30	5-6	5-6	0-0	1	1	2	0	15
Yohan Traore	F	31	4-7	0-0	4-4	4	0	0	0	12
Ariel Bland	F	16	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Jason Fontenet II	G	23	1-2	1-2	3-4	4	1	1	0	6
Evans Kipruto	C	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Ben Shtolzberg	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Matija Belic	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

112.1Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency112.1

-13.3Net Efficiency13.3

56.7%Effective FG%62.0%

57.8%True Shooting %67.6%

21.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

20.0%Free Throw Rate54.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.53Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.