Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Rutgers

96.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -22.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -2400

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 63

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricMichigan State

45.9MMH Power Index69.8

104.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

-8.0Net Efficiency15.5

3.9Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.4Tempo67.3

47.4%Effective FG%54.1%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-5.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–45.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.2), net efficiency (15.5–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–17.2).

Final

Rutgers

55—73

Michigan State

Michigan State by 18 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATMichigan State

20-54FG25-55

37.0%FG%45.0%

7-183PT12-25

39.0%3PT%48.0%

8-13FT11-15

62.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists19

10Turnovers9

1Steals4

2Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	24	4-9	3-7	3-4	1	1	0	0	14
Mawot Mag	Forward	36	5-9	2-3	0-1	5	1	0	0	12
Antwone Woolfolk	F	17	1-4	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	0	6
Austin Williams	Guard	32	2-5	0-0	1-2	4	3	0	0	5
Derek Simpson	G	23	2-6	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Jamichael Davis	G	21	2-5	0-0	0-2	0	3	0	0	4
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	2	4
Noah Fernandes	Guard	8	1-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Gavin Griffiths	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Hall	Forward	28	6-9	1-1	2-4	6	2	1	0	15
Tyson Walker	Guard	35	4-12	3-7	2-3	2	4	1	0	13
Tre Holloman	G	27	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	6	0	1	9
Jaden Akins	Guard	23	3-7	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
AJ Hoggard	Guard	31	2-6	1-3	2-2	4	6	1	0	7
Coen Carr	F	10	2-4	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	1	5
Carson Cooper	C	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	18	1-5	0-0	1-2	7	0	1	0	3
Xavier Booker	C	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Steven Izzo	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Jaxon Kohler	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

86.3Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency86.3

-28.3Net Efficiency28.3

43.5%Effective FG%56.4%

45.7%True Shooting %58.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.3%

24.1%Free Throw Rate27.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.