Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Northern Iowa

42.2%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -137

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 73

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMurray State

61MMH Power Index53.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

96.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.0Net Efficiency4.0

2.2Strength of Schedule3.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

64.1Tempo72.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Northern Iowa

70—60

Murray State

Northern Iowa by 10 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATMurray State

22-52FG22-54

42.0%FG%41.0%

8-223PT5-18

36.0%3PT%28.0%

18-20FT11-21

90.0%FT%52.0%

36Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists5

13Turnovers10

6Steals8

3Blocks4

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Heise	G	37	7-14	3-5	7-7	10	5	1	1	24
Kyle Pock	F	28	3-7	2-5	4-4	1	2	2	0	12
Bowen Born	Guard	26	2-6	1-4	4-4	4	0	0	0	9
Trey Campbell	G	36	2-6	2-5	1-2	5	4	3	0	7
Cole Henry	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	1	7
Michael Duax	F	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Tytan Anderson	Guard	17	1-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Jacob Hutson	Center	19	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
RJ Taylor	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Drew Daniel	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Ellington	F	27	5-8	0-0	4-9	5	0	1	3	14
Alden Applewhite	F	24	4-11	2-6	3-4	7	0	2	0	13
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	3-9	2-5	2-2	2	1	3	0	10
Rob Perry	Guard	36	4-11	0-3	0-0	8	3	1	1	8
Quincy Anderson	Guard	21	3-7	1-2	1-4	7	0	1	0	8
Brian Moore Jr.	G	27	3-7	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Samuel Murray	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Justin Morgan	Guard	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

104.8Offensive Efficiency89.8

89.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

50.0%Effective FG%45.4%

56.9%True Shooting %46.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

38.5%Free Throw Rate38.9%

42.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.