Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.8%Ohio State

91.2%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -17.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1036

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 70

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreMichigan 88

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricMichigan

64.5MMH Power Index80.9

118.1Offensive Efficiency122.3

108.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

10.0Net Efficiency25.3

6.4Strength of Schedule8.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.2Tempo71.8

56.9%Effective FG%58.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate38.9%

6.7Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–64.5), offensive efficiency (122.3–118.1), defensive efficiency (97.0–108.1), net efficiency (25.3–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.3–16.4).

Final

Ohio State

65—73

Michigan

Michigan by 8 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATMichigan

25-66FG27-63

38.0%FG%43.0%

3-253PT12-23

12.0%3PT%52.0%

12-14FT7-10

86.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists15

4Turnovers9

5Steals1

5Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	38	8-19	2-7	1-1	6	2	4	0	19
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	34	3-8	0-3	6-6	2	0	0	0	12
Felix Okpara	F	35	5-8	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	5	10
Evan Mahaffey	F	23	3-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Devin Royal	F	7	3-5	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	7
Jamison Battle	Forward	24	2-10	1-8	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Dale Bonner	Guard	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Zed Key	Forward	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Scotty Middleton	F	9	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Taison Chatman	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Olivier Nkamhoua	Forward	37	9-21	2-8	0-0	6	4	0	0	20
Terrance Williams II	F	35	6-9	5-5	1-2	5	3	0	0	18
Dug McDaniel	G	39	6-16	3-6	0-0	3	4	0	0	15
Nimari Burnett	G	37	2-4	1-2	2-4	10	4	1	1	7
Will Tschetter	F	15	2-4	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	2	7
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	28	2-8	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	6
Jace Howard	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

97.3Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency97.3

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

40.2%Effective FG%52.4%

44.7%True Shooting %53.9%

6.0%Turnover Rate13.5%

21.2%Free Throw Rate15.9%

37.9%3-Point Rate36.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Michigan won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.