Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.9%Merrimack

37.1%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -170

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 70

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 69

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricCentral Connecticut

53.7MMH Power Index44.4

106.4Offensive Efficiency111.4

103.2Defensive Efficiency107.0

3.2Net Efficiency4.4

0.7Strength of Schedule-7.7

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

64.4Tempo66.3

49.3%Effective FG%54.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.5%Free Throw Rate31.3%

2.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–44.4), defensive efficiency (103.2–107.0), strength of schedule (0.7–-7.7), recent form (12.9–-0.5).

Central Connecticut COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.4–106.4), net efficiency (4.4–3.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.3).

Final

Merrimack

70—75

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 5 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

26-60FG29-61

43.0%FG%48.0%

5-193PT3-10

26.0%3PT%30.0%

13-18FT14-15

72.0%FT%93.0%

30Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists17

13Turnovers15

7Steals10

7Blocks8

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	30	5-12	1-1	5-8	4	2	1	0	16
Adam Clark	G	36	7-12	0-0	1-2	5	8	0	0	15
Bryan Etumnu	F	20	4-7	1-3	4-4	4	0	1	3	13
Devon Savage	Guard	27	3-11	3-9	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	20	4-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	4	8
Samba Diallo	Forward	32	2-7	0-1	1-2	5	2	1	0	5
Jordan McKoy	Guard	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Jaylen Stinson	G	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Brown	Forward	29	5-9	0-0	5-5	4	0	0	2	15
Kellen Amos	Guard	29	4-9	2-6	2-3	3	4	1	2	12
Tre Breland	Guard	37	4-8	0-1	1-1	3	3	4	2	9
Jordan Jones	Guard	35	4-11	0-2	0-0	6	7	2	1	8
Abdul Momoh	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	4
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	24	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
TJ Holloway	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

95.4Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.4

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

47.5%Effective FG%50.0%

51.1%True Shooting %55.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate20.5%

30.0%Free Throw Rate24.6%

31.7%3-Point Rate16.4%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.