Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Chicago State

72.0%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -257

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 71

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreStetson 78

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricStetson

36.1MMH Power Index40

99.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

114.9Defensive Efficiency115.9

-15.5Net Efficiency-8.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.0

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.2Tempo68.7

45.6%Effective FG%53.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-10.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stetson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStetson holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.0–36.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–99.4), net efficiency (-8.7–-15.5), recent form (-2.9–-4.3).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (114.9–115.9), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.0), ball security (15.8–18.3).

Final

Chicago State

77—70

Stetson

Chicago State by 7 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATStetson

26-57FG26-52

46.0%FG%50.0%

4-173PT10-21

24.0%3PT%48.0%

21-30FT8-14

70.0%FT%57.0%

26Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists15

6Turnovers12

5Steals3

2Blocks5

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	37	7-11	0-1	15-17	7	1	0	1	29
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	38	10-15	0-1	5-7	8	1	1	0	25
Brent Davis	Guard	31	4-10	3-7	0-0	3	1	1	0	11
Noble Crawford	Forward	28	2-8	1-3	1-2	3	2	2	1	6
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	28	2-6	0-2	0-2	4	1	0	0	4
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	22	0-6	0-3	0-2	0	7	0	0	0
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	37	9-18	2-4	1-2	4	7	2	0	21
Alec Oglesby	G	38	6-10	5-8	0-0	2	0	0	1	17
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	34	3-13	1-5	3-4	1	2	0	0	10
Aubin Gateretse	Center	28	3-4	0-0	3-4	10	3	0	1	9
Josh Smith	F	31	3-3	1-1	1-4	4	1	1	2	8
Cyncier Harrison	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Treyton Thompson	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Alex Doyle	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Tristan Gross	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

119.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency119.4

10.9Net Efficiency-10.9

49.1%Effective FG%59.6%

54.0%True Shooting %59.7%

8.8%Turnover Rate19.8%

52.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

29.8%3-Point Rate40.4%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.