Alabama A&M

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Alabama A&M

50.8%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -103

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama A&M 74

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreAlabama State 75

Team Comparison

Alabama A&MMetricAlabama State

42.3MMH Power Index38

105.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

106.6Defensive Efficiency107.4

-0.7Net Efficiency-5.7

-6.8Strength of Schedule-6.2

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

68.0Tempo71.9

49.7%Effective FG%48.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

45.7%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-0.5Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama A&M HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama A&M holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–38.0), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), defensive efficiency (106.6–107.4), net efficiency (-0.7–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.2–-6.8), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.0).

Final

Alabama A&M

55—72

Alabama State

Alabama State by 17 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama A&MTEAM STATAlabama State

18-45FG23-60

40.0%FG%38.0%

3-143PT9-19

21.0%3PT%47.0%

16-27FT17-21

59.0%FT%81.0%

39Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists11

21Turnovers8

5Steals11

10Blocks5

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Alabama A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	30	5-7	2-3	7-8	2	0	2	0	19
Cameron Tucker	Guard	29	1-4	0-1	6-6	7	2	0	1	8
Caleb Blackwell	G	20	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Jayland Randall	G	23	2-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	5
EJ Williams	Center	15	2-3	0-0	1-3	4	2	0	0	5
Darius Osborne	Forward	9	2-4	0-1	0-1	1	0	1	1	4
William Tavares	Center	13	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	5	3
AC Bryant	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-3	4	0	0	0	2
Eric Lee	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Omari Peek	Guard	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	2	0
Chad Moodie	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
London Riley	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Lorenzo Downey	Guard	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Range	Guard	30	7-13	6-9	0-0	1	0	1	0	20
Amarr Knox	G	15	4-12	0-0	1-2	2	2	2	0	9
TJ Madlock	Guard	28	2-7	0-1	4-4	5	2	1	0	8
Eric Coleman	Forward	20	0-3	0-2	8-8	4	0	2	0	8
CJ Hines	G	24	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	4	1	0	7
JaSteven Walker	F	14	3-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	2	7
Sean Smith	G	23	2-8	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	0	4
Micah Octave	G	21	1-5	1-3	1-2	7	1	1	2	4
Kendal Parker	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	17	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

84.1Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency84.1

-26.0Net Efficiency26.0

43.3%Effective FG%45.8%

47.6%True Shooting %51.4%

31.9%Turnover Rate12.3%

60.0%Free Throw Rate35.0%

31.1%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.24Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.