Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Samford

59.5%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -147

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 78

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 81

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricWestern Carolina

54.1MMH Power Index53

113.5Offensive Efficiency112.6

108.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.2Net Efficiency1.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-0.9

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

69.5Tempo69.7

54.0%Effective FG%51.1%

13.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

42.5%Free Throw Rate30.8%

3.6Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (113.5–112.6), defensive efficiency (108.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-2.9), offensive rebounding (36.1–25.3).

Final

Samford

75—71

Western Carolina

Samford by 4 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATWestern Carolina

25-58FG25-64

43.0%FG%39.0%

8-183PT8-25

44.0%3PT%32.0%

17-21FT13-17

81.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists8

9Turnovers8

6Steals3

3Blocks4

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Achor Achor	F	30	12-22	5-9	6-8	10	0	0	2	35
Rylan Jones	Guard	32	6-11	2-3	4-4	3	6	0	0	18
Jaden Campbell	Guard	32	4-9	1-2	1-2	3	2	1	1	10
AJ Staton-McCray	G	26	2-8	0-2	5-5	8	0	3	0	9
Josh Holloway	G	7	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Dallas Graziani	Guard	24	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Garrett Hicks	Guard	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Nathan Johnson	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Riley Allenspach	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chandler Leopard	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lukas Walls	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vonterius Woolbright	Guard	36	8-13	0-3	7-9	10	4	0	0	23
Russell Jones Jr.	Guard	33	7-15	5-10	3-4	2	1	0	0	22
DeJuan Campbell	G	32	4-12	1-3	3-4	7	2	0	1	12
Tre Jackson	Guard	35	3-13	2-8	0-0	4	1	2	0	8
Charles Lampten	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Corneilous Williams	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	2
Bernard Pelote	Forward	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Colin Granger	Center	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kamar Robertson	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

108.5Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency108.5

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

50.0%Effective FG%45.3%

55.2%True Shooting %49.3%

13.0%Turnover Rate11.6%

36.2%Free Throw Rate26.6%

31.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Samford won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.