Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Wake Forest

68.7%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -219

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 77

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricNC State

57.6MMH Power Index60.1

112.4Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.7Defensive Efficiency108.6

2.7Net Efficiency9.8

7.2Strength of Schedule6.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

70.2Tempo70.2

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

1.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.4), defensive efficiency (108.6–109.7), net efficiency (9.8–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.0–28.2).

Final

Wake Forest

76—83

NC State

NC State by 7 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATNC State

24-56FG29-54

43.0%FG%54.0%

6-183PTnull-8

33.0%3PT%0.0%

22-28FT25-33

79.0%FT%76.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists7

17Turnovers13

5Steals10

2Blocks4

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Carr	Forward	39	10-13	3-4	5-9	4	0	1	1	28
Boopie Miller	G	37	3-12	0-2	15-15	3	4	2	0	21
Hunter Sallis	Guard	28	4-9	2-5	2-2	6	2	1	0	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	22	3-6	1-1	0-1	8	1	1	1	7
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	36	3-13	0-4	0-1	5	3	0	0	6
Parker Friedrichsen	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Matthew Marsh	Center	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Zach Keller	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Abramo Canka	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	30	9-19	0-4	3-3	3	3	2	0	21
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	20	5-5	0-0	4-4	6	0	1	0	14
Jayden Taylor	Guard	33	2-6	0-2	8-10	5	1	2	2	12
DJ Burns	Forward	20	5-9	0-1	0-1	2	2	0	1	10
Casey Morsell	Guard	33	2-6	0-0	4-4	0	0	1	1	8
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	25	3-4	0-1	2-4	13	0	2	0	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	19	1-2	0-0	4-5	0	1	0	0	6
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	2	0	2
Kam Woods	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

100.7Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency100.7

-9.3Net Efficiency9.3

48.2%Effective FG%53.7%

54.8%True Shooting %59.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate61.1%

32.1%3-Point Rate14.8%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.54

Game Summary

NC State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.