Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Missouri State

44.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -127

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 75

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricIndiana State

51.1MMH Power Index44.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

108.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

2.1Net Efficiency-1.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.9Tempo70.3

51.8%Effective FG%53.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–104.7), net efficiency (2.1–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–108.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.8).

Final

Missouri State

66—88

Indiana State

Indiana State by 22 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATIndiana State

27-60FG30-54

45.0%FG%56.0%

7-173PT11-26

41.0%3PT%42.0%

5-10FT17-23

50.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists15

8Turnovers6

4Steals5

2Blocks1

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	36	5-17	3-6	2-2	1	7	1	0	15
NJ Benson	F	32	7-10	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	1	14
Donovan Clay	Guard	33	5-12	2-3	0-0	3	4	2	1	12
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	24	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Matthew Lee	Guard	23	2-7	2-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	6
Chance Moore	G	26	2-6	0-2	1-4	6	0	1	0	5
Cesare Edwards	Center	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Raphe Ayres	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dawson Carper	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	32	7-10	4-7	7-11	5	3	1	0	25
Robbie Avila	C	37	9-15	3-7	3-4	10	4	1	1	24
Jayson Kent	Forward	40	5-9	2-3	3-4	11	2	1	0	15
Isaiah Swope	Guard	34	6-14	1-7	0-0	0	1	0	0	13
Julian Larry	Guard	40	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	3	1	0	6
Xavier Bledson	Guard	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Jake Wolfe	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency144.5

144.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

-36.1Net Efficiency36.1

50.8%Effective FG%65.7%

51.0%True Shooting %67.8%

13.2%Turnover Rate9.8%

16.7%Free Throw Rate42.6%

28.3%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.88Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.