Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%Ball State

67.8%Eastern Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Michigan -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.3

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Michigan -211

Eastern Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 67

Projected Total140.3

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 73

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricEastern Michigan

41.3MMH Power Index43.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency102.4

104.7Defensive Efficiency106.6

-3.0Net Efficiency-4.2

-3.9Strength of Schedule1.4

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.4Tempo69.0

48.3%Effective FG%49.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-2.0Average Margin-2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.7–106.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-4.2), recent form (-0.9–-8.5), ball security (16.0–17.3).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (43.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (102.4–101.7), strength of schedule (1.4–-3.9).

Final

Ball State

76—62

Eastern Michigan

Ball State by 14 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATEastern Michigan

26-52FG23-57

50.0%FG%40.0%

7-193PT4-17

37.0%3PT%24.0%

17-22FT12-17

77.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds37

3Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists9

9Turnovers15

11Steals6

4Blocks3

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	38	6-13	4-8	7-7	7	1	2	0	23
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	40	6-10	1-2	2-3	3	6	5	0	15
Basheer Jihad	Forward	24	4-10	1-4	5-8	5	1	1	2	14
Mason Jones	F	37	4-7	1-2	1-2	5	1	0	1	10
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	34	3-7	0-2	2-2	4	1	3	0	8
Ben Hendriks	Center	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Micah Bell	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Acuff	Guard	40	8-20	0-4	5-6	2	4	1	0	21
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	22	4-8	1-2	2-5	8	1	1	0	11
Orlando Lovejoy	G	36	4-10	1-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	9
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	21	3-3	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Legend Geeter	F	21	2-5	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	7
Cyril Martynov	C	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Javantae Randle	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Julius Ellerbe III	Guard	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	0	0
Arne Osojnik	F	17	0-6	0-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Connor Serven	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

109.7Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency109.7

20.2Net Efficiency-20.2

56.7%Effective FG%43.9%

60.8%True Shooting %47.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate21.4%

42.3%Free Throw Rate29.8%

36.5%3-Point Rate29.8%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Ball State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.