Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.6%Air Force

98.4%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -27.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -6150

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 86

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricColorado State

23MMH Power Index55.4

91.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

118.5Defensive Efficiency109.9

-27.2Net Efficiency7.2

6.2Strength of Schedule0.4

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.4Tempo64.7

49.0%Effective FG%58.6%

21.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-18.3Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Air Force

69—78

Colorado State

Colorado State by 9 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATColorado State

23-56FG25-57

41.0%FG%44.0%

10-223PT10-24

45.0%3PT%42.0%

13-17FT18-23

76.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists18

16Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks4

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rytis Petraitis	F	36	6-11	1-2	9-10	7	5	1	1	22
Ethan Taylor	Guard	45	6-15	5-11	1-1	8	1	1	0	18
Beau Becker	Forward	44	7-16	4-8	0-0	7	1	0	0	18
Kellan Boylan	F	42	2-6	0-0	3-4	7	3	4	2	7
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	35	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	1	4
Byron Brown	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Chase Beasley	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Luke Kearney	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	7-15	1-4	2-3	6	3	1	1	17
Joel Scott	Forward	33	2-3	1-2	8-10	7	1	1	2	13
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	39	4-12	1-1	3-4	3	9	2	0	12
Joe Palmer	Guard	26	4-8	3-6	0-0	5	0	2	1	11
Jalen Lake	Guard	27	3-6	1-3	1-2	3	1	1	0	8
Josiah Strong	Guard	25	3-7	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Tavi Jackson	G	7	0-0	0-0	4-4	0	1	0	0	4
Patrick Cartier	Forward	18	1-4	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

101.5Offensive Efficiency114.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

50.0%Effective FG%52.6%

53.8%True Shooting %57.4%

23.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

30.4%Free Throw Rate40.4%

39.3%3-Point Rate42.1%

0.81Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.