San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%San José State

74.6%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -294

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 70

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreFresno State 79

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricFresno State

42MMH Power Index47.1

108.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-9.8Net Efficiency0.0

1.8Strength of Schedule1.5

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

66.2Tempo69.4

50.8%Effective FG%51.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-6.5Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–42.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-9.8), recent form (-6.0–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–104.9), strength of schedule (1.8–1.5), ball security (15.2–18.2).

Final

San José State

82—85

Fresno State

Fresno State by 3 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATFresno State

31-66FG33-60

47.0%FG%55.0%

17-293PT11-25

59.0%3PT%44.0%

3-7FT8-10

43.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists15

9Turnovers7

4Steals4

4Blocks4

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tibet Gorener	Forward	38	12-17	7-9	1-2	5	1	0	0	32
Trey Anderson	Forward	35	8-12	5-5	0-0	6	0	2	1	21
Myron Amey Jr.	G	36	4-12	3-5	2-3	4	4	0	0	13
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	35	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	6	1	0	7
Diogo Seixas	Forward	19	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Adrame Diongue	C	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	3	2
Latrell Davis	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
William Humer	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rickey Mitchell Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Garrett Anderson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	37	7-13	5-8	5-5	6	9	0	0	24
Donavan Yap	Guard	27	6-11	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	13
Isaiah Pope	Guard	30	4-8	1-1	3-4	1	1	1	0	12
Xavier DuSell	Guard	21	4-10	3-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Enoch Boakye	Forward	27	5-7	0-0	0-0	13	1	1	3	10
Jalen Weaver	Guard	15	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Leo Colimerio	Forward	27	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Eduardo Andre	Center	16	2-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

126.0Offensive Efficiency130.6

130.6Defensive Efficiency126.0

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

59.8%Effective FG%64.2%

59.1%True Shooting %65.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate10.6%

10.6%Free Throw Rate16.7%

43.9%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.