Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Georgia State

90.1%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -910

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 63

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricApp State

38.9MMH Power Index54.2

101.3Offensive Efficiency110.9

107.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

-6.2Net Efficiency9.2

-1.7Strength of Schedule-4.2

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

69.5Tempo64.9

45.3%Effective FG%51.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–101.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–107.5), net efficiency (9.2–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.2).

Final

Georgia State

68—76

App State

App State by 8 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATApp State

26-69FG29-65

38.0%FG%45.0%

10-283PT4-15

36.0%3PT%27.0%

6-8FT14-24

75.0%FT%58.0%

36Rebounds51

11Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists18

7Turnovers9

6Steals3

1Blocks7

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Taylor	Guard	37	5-16	2-8	0-0	3	3	2	0	12
Brenden Tucker	Guard	20	5-11	1-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	12
Toneari Lane	G	31	3-12	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	9
Julian Mackey	G	10	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	30	3-7	2-4	0-0	12	1	2	0	8
Jamaine Mann	Guard	25	3-9	1-3	1-2	6	0	1	0	8
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	25	2-6	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	6
Dwon Odom	Guard	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	4

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre'Von Spillers	F	33	10-15	0-0	3-5	13	0	1	0	23
Myles Tate	Guard	24	4-8	1-4	6-6	6	6	1	0	15
Donovan Gregory	Forward	31	4-15	0-1	0-1	11	4	0	1	8
Terence Harcum	Guard	30	3-10	1-4	1-2	2	1	0	1	8
Justin Abson	F	23	3-4	0-0	1-6	5	2	0	3	7
Jordan Marsh	G	10	2-7	1-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
CJ Huntley	Forward	23	1-3	0-1	1-2	5	2	0	2	3
Christopher Mantis	Forward	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Xavion Brown	Guard	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

99.1Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency99.1

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

44.9%Effective FG%47.7%

46.7%True Shooting %49.7%

10.2%Turnover Rate13.2%

11.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

40.6%3-Point Rate23.1%

1.43Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

App State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.