Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Florida State

78.0%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -355

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreMiami 85

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricMiami

58.7MMH Power Index65.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency117.8

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.0

3.4Net Efficiency14.8

5.7Strength of Schedule3.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

71.8Tempo69.2

52.4%Effective FG%55.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.5), net efficiency (14.8–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–3.6), recent form (7.6–3.6), ball security (15.2–16.2).

Final

Florida State

84—75

Miami

Florida State by 9 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATMiami

33-68FG27-58

49.0%FG%47.0%

4-173PT7-28

24.0%3PT%25.0%

14-23FT14-24

61.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists10

13Turnovers14

12Steals8

2Blocks4

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	29	5-14	1-3	5-8	2	3	1	0	16
Cameron Corhen	F	19	7-7	0-0	2-3	3	0	3	1	16
Jamir Watkins	Guard	33	7-15	0-4	1-1	5	2	1	0	15
De'Ante Green	F	7	4-7	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Baba Miller	F	30	3-8	1-4	2-2	8	2	2	0	9
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	28	2-6	2-5	0-0	6	4	1	0	6
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	2-6	5	0	0	1	6
Jalen Warley	G	25	2-5	0-0	0-1	2	6	0	0	4
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	4	0	2
Chandler Jackson	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nijel Pack	G	36	8-17	3-11	0-0	2	0	1	0	19
Wooga Poplar	Guard	37	4-11	3-9	4-6	6	3	3	0	15
Norchad Omier	Forward	31	4-5	0-0	7-12	15	2	1	1	15
Bensley Joseph	Guard	30	4-8	0-3	2-2	2	3	1	2	10
Kyshawn George	Forward	19	4-6	1-2	0-1	2	0	0	1	9
Mike Nwoko	F	7	1-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	0	3
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	35	1-8	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
AJ Casey	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency111.7

12.0Net Efficiency-12.0

51.5%Effective FG%52.6%

53.2%True Shooting %54.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.1%

33.8%Free Throw Rate41.4%

25.0%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Florida State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.