Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Lafayette

57.9%Holy Cross

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHoly Cross -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINEHoly Cross -138

Holy Cross

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 70

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 73

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricHoly Cross

39.6MMH Power Index37.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency103.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

-7.4Net Efficiency-7.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.6

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo66.1

49.4%Effective FG%49.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %22.4%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.5%

-5.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–37.9), defensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), net efficiency (-7.4–-7.6), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.3–102.9), recent form (-5.2–-6.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Lafayette

72—68

Holy Cross

Lafayette by 4 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATHoly Cross

27-60FG26-57

45.0%FG%46.0%

9-253PT7-20

36.0%3PT%35.0%

9-13FT9-9

69.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

8Turnovers8

4Steals5

4Blocks5

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	32	6-8	0-1	2-3	4	4	1	0	14
Devin Hines	G	31	4-14	4-8	1-2	5	0	1	0	13
Ryan Pettit	G	23	4-6	3-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	11
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	31	2-6	1-4	2-2	1	1	0	1	7
Justin Vander Baan	C	30	2-8	0-2	3-4	7	2	0	2	7
Joshua Wyche	F	18	3-5	0-1	1-2	4	3	1	0	7
Eric Sondberg	Guard	17	3-8	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Chris Rubayo	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Luka Savicevic	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Kenney	Forward	34	6-10	0-0	3-3	6	1	0	4	15
Joe Octave	Guard	37	4-12	0-3	4-4	9	2	2	0	12
Bo Montgomery	Guard	20	5-9	0-2	2-2	1	3	2	0	12
Will Batchelder	G	29	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	9
Joe Nugent	F	28	3-5	3-5	0-0	7	0	0	0	9
Kahlil Singleton	G	11	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Declan Ryan	F	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
A.J. Wills	G	19	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
DeAndre Williams	G	14	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

116.5Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency116.5

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

52.5%Effective FG%51.8%

54.4%True Shooting %55.5%

12.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

21.7%Free Throw Rate15.8%

41.7%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.