Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Drake

80.0%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -400

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 69

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreIllinois State 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricIllinois State

46.4MMH Power Index54.3

109.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

109.1Defensive Efficiency101.4

0.4Net Efficiency9.2

0.3Strength of Schedule1.0

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.6Tempo67.5

52.2%Effective FG%54.3%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

34.4%Free Throw Rate32.0%

0.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–109.1), net efficiency (9.2–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (34.4–32.0).

Final

Drake

77—56

Illinois State

Drake by 21 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATIllinois State

33-59FG18-47

56.0%FG%38.0%

8-193PT5-18

42.0%3PT%28.0%

3-6FT15-20

50.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds28

5Offensive Rebounds5

19Assists11

3Turnovers8

4Steals2

2Blocks—

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	32	11-22	3-7	0-2	4	4	1	0	25
Atin Wright	Guard	25	5-10	2-4	0-1	1	3	0	1	12
Darnell Brodie	Forward	27	5-6	0-0	1-1	12	5	2	1	11
Kevin Overton	G	28	4-7	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Conor Enright	G	26	3-3	1-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Colby Garland	G	21	4-4	1-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Andrew Alia	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyron Gibson	Guard	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nate Ferguson	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Eric Northweather	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Carlos Rosario	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brashon Hall	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	24	5-10	0-0	4-4	2	2	1	14
Dalton Banks	Guard	31	5-10	2-4	1-2	3	3	0	13
Myles Foster	Forward	27	1-3	0-0	6-6	7	0	0	8
Jordan Davis	Guard	27	3-8	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	7
Luke Kasubke	Guard	22	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	19	1-4	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	5
Johnny Kinziger	G	19	1-6	0-4	0-2	3	4	0	2
Ty Pence	G	8	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1
Kendall Lewis	Forward	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Chase Walker	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

129.0Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency129.0

35.2Net Efficiency-35.2

62.7%Effective FG%43.6%

62.2%True Shooting %49.6%

5.0%Turnover Rate13.4%

10.2%Free Throw Rate42.6%

32.2%3-Point Rate38.3%

6.33Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Drake won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.