Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.2%Valparaiso

17.8%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -462

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreEvansville 68

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricEvansville

49.9MMH Power Index31.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

0.8Net Efficiency-13.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

48.7%Effective FG%50.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

0.5Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–31.6), offensive efficiency (106.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.4), net efficiency (0.8–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.0–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

75—78

Evansville

Evansville by 3 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATEvansville

28-63FG27-53

44.0%FG%51.0%

11-273PT10-16

41.0%3PT%63.0%

8-11FT14-19

73.0%FT%74.0%

32Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists14

14Turnovers14

5Steals10

1Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	35	10-19	5-8	6-8	5	1	2	0	31
Cooper Schwieger	F	34	6-15	0-2	0-0	10	4	0	1	12
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	34	4-9	3-5	1-2	2	5	3	0	12
Jahari Williamson	G	16	3-8	3-7	1-1	0	1	0	0	10
Kaspar Sepp	F	30	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Jaxon Edwards	G	31	1-5	0-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Ola Ajiboye	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yacine Toumi	F	36	4-8	0-0	5-7	8	1	2	1	13
Chuck Bailey III	G	15	5-7	2-3	1-3	2	3	0	0	13
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	28	4-7	3-3	0-0	1	3	3	0	11
Antonio Thomas	Guard	19	3-7	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	10
Tanner Cuff	G	21	4-6	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	9
Joshua Hughes	F	29	2-7	1-2	3-4	9	1	3	1	8
Ben Humrichous	F	11	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Cam Haffner	G	19	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Gage Bobe	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	2	0	2
Sekou Kalle	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency110.9

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

53.2%Effective FG%60.4%

55.0%True Shooting %62.9%

20.5%Turnover Rate20.9%

17.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Evansville won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.