Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Nevada

63.2%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -172

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 72

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 78

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricSan Diego State

59.8MMH Power Index60.1

112.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

105.7Defensive Efficiency99.3

6.7Net Efficiency11.0

3.7Strength of Schedule3.8

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.7Tempo70.8

50.2%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

46.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.5Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–105.7), net efficiency (11.0–6.7), strength of schedule (3.8–3.7).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–110.3), recent form (7.8–0.4), ball security (14.8–17.2).

Final

Nevada

59—71

San Diego State

San Diego State by 12 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATSan Diego State

23-51FG22-53

45.0%FG%42.0%

6-233PT5-21

26.0%3PT%24.0%

7-17FT22-34

41.0%FT%65.0%

25Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds20

11Assists6

14Turnovers12

8Steals8

3Blocks3

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Coleman	Forward	33	6-10	4-7	0-2	4	0	1	1	16
Kenan Blackshear	Guard	32	6-12	0-1	2-5	5	7	3	0	14
Jarod Lucas	Guard	33	3-10	1-6	2-2	4	0	2	0	9
K.J. Hymes	Forward	15	3-3	0-0	2-6	3	0	0	0	8
Jazz Gardner	C	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Daniel Foster	Guard	23	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	1	3
Nick Davidson	F	24	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Tyler Rolison	G	6	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Tylan Pope	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	37	7-9	0-0	8-12	12	0	3	1	22
Reese Waters	Guard	33	3-10	2-6	6-8	7	1	0	0	14
Lamont Butler	Guard	35	4-9	0-2	2-6	4	3	2	0	10
Micah Parrish	Guard	27	2-8	1-5	3-4	3	2	2	0	8
Jay Pal	Forward	21	3-5	1-2	1-2	10	0	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	20	2-7	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	2	7
Elijah Saunders	F	21	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Miles Heide	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

92.6Offensive Efficiency111.5

111.5Defensive Efficiency92.6

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

51.0%Effective FG%46.2%

49.9%True Shooting %51.3%

21.2%Turnover Rate19.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate64.2%

45.1%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.