UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.4%UNC Wilmington

26.6%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -276

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreElon 73

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricElon

59.2MMH Power Index45.5

114.1Offensive Efficiency113.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency112.7

12.4Net Efficiency0.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.4

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

66.9Tempo69.1

51.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

41.7%Free Throw Rate34.0%

8.3Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (114.1–113.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–112.7), net efficiency (12.4–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.1).

Final

UNC Wilmington

82—70

Elon

UNC Wilmington by 12 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATElon

26-50FG22-49

52.0%FG%45.0%

10-203PT7-18

50.0%3PT%39.0%

20-33FT19-30

61.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists12

11Turnovers12

7Steals2

4Blocks3

23Fouls24

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trazarien White	Forward	36	9-12	2-2	11-20	11	6	1	0	31
KJ Jenkins	Guard	24	5-7	5-7	3-3	2	0	2	0	18
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	31	5-13	0-1	5-6	3	3	3	0	15
Khamari McGriff	F	24	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	3	5
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Donovan Newby	Not Available	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Nolan Hodge	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Noah Ross	G	20	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ahmard Harvey	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	2
Eric Van Der Heijden	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LA Pratt	G	33	7-11	2-5	0-0	7	2	0	0	16
Takai Simpkins	G	32	3-7	1-2	9-11	3	4	1	1	16
Rob Higgins	Guard	35	5-14	1-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	13
Sam Sherry	Forward	21	3-6	0-0	2-5	3	2	0	1	8
Max Mackinnon	G	23	2-4	1-3	1-2	7	3	0	0	6
Nick Dorn	G	22	1-4	1-4	2-4	3	0	1	0	5
Zac Ervin	Guard	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Kendall Campbell	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	2
Deandre Smart	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

125.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency125.2

18.3Net Efficiency-18.3

62.0%Effective FG%52.0%

62.4%True Shooting %55.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

66.0%Free Throw Rate61.2%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.