Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Troy

55.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -123

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 76

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSouth Alabama

54.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

8.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

6.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

Troy

71—74

South Alabama

South Alabama by 3 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSouth Alabama

23-63FG25-53

37.0%FG%47.0%

9-303PT9-20

30.0%3PT%45.0%

16-24FT15-20

67.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists8

11Turnovers14

11Steals7

7Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christyon Eugene	Guard	32	7-14	2-6	2-2	5	3	1	0	18
Myles Rigsby	G	23	3-6	1-3	4-6	10	2	0	0	11
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	20	3-7	2-6	1-2	0	1	0	0	9
Tayton Conerway	G	21	3-12	1-4	1-2	5	2	5	1	8
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	9	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Jackson Fields	F	30	1-4	0-0	4-6	7	0	2	5	6
Theo Seng	F	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Thomas Dowd	F	20	1-4	1-4	2-4	2	1	0	0	5
Victor Valdes	F	17	0-4	0-2	2-2	2	1	2	0	2
Randarius Jones	C	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samuel Tabe	Guard	35	7-14	0-1	5-5	7	5	0	0	19
Tyrell Jones	Guard	36	4-9	4-6	5-6	5	0	4	0	17
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	31	5-10	3-6	0-0	2	1	2	0	13
Thomas Howell	Forward	32	3-5	0-0	4-5	4	0	0	2	10
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	23	3-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Marcus Millender	G	17	2-5	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Judah Brown	Forward	26	1-6	0-4	1-4	6	1	1	2	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

100.7Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

43.7%Effective FG%55.7%

47.7%True Shooting %59.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

38.1%Free Throw Rate37.7%

47.6%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.