Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Abilene Christian

68.0%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -212

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 70

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 76

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricTarleton State

42.4MMH Power Index44.6

101.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.0Net Efficiency1.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.6Tempo72.2

48.9%Effective FG%49.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

-2.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Abilene Christian

71—79

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 8 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATTarleton State

24-61FG30-57

39.0%FG%53.0%

9-183PT6-15

50.0%3PT%40.0%

14-17FT13-24

82.0%FT%54.0%

33Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists16

9Turnovers9

6Steals5

3Blocks5

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	37	4-14	1-1	5-6	8	1	1	0	14
Airion Simmons	Forward	27	5-10	2-4	2-3	3	3	1	1	14
Kavion McClain	F	30	5-9	2-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	12
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	39	3-12	2-6	3-4	4	3	2	0	11
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	25	4-7	1-1	2-2	5	0	1	2	11
JV Seat	G	7	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Leonardo Bettiol	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Muodubem Muoneke	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakorie Smith	Forward	30	9-15	4-8	3-6	5	1	0	0	25
Lue Williams	Guard	30	5-10	0-3	5-8	6	2	1	0	15
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	28	7-11	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	2	15
Traivar Jackson	F	19	4-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	8
Miles Lewis	Guard	24	3-6	1-1	0-0	2	4	0	1	7
Devon Barnes	G	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	5
Adam Moussa	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	4-4	2	4	1	0	4
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	34	0-5	0-0	0-0	9	3	0	0	0
Dario Domingos	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

105.5Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency105.5

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

46.7%Effective FG%57.9%

51.4%True Shooting %57.7%

13.4%Turnover Rate13.4%

27.9%Free Throw Rate42.1%

29.5%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.