Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Sacramento State

84.6%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -549

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 75

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 88

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNorthern Colorado

43MMH Power Index53.7

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

-5.9Net Efficiency8.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-4.3

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

73.2Tempo71.1

48.5%Effective FG%56.9%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–112.0), net efficiency (8.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-4.3), ball security (14.2–15.3), free throw rate (41.8–27.8).

Final

Sacramento State

75—77

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 2 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

28-55FG31-59

51.0%FG%53.0%

10-253PT6-20

40.0%3PT%30.0%

9-12FT9-11

75.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists15

8Turnovers4

2Steals6

1Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zee Hamoda	G	33	7-14	4-10	1-2	3	3	1	0	19
Jacob Holt	Forward	24	3-4	2-3	4-4	6	0	0	1	12
Duncan Powell	F	29	4-13	0-3	3-4	3	1	0	0	11
Emil Skytt	G	31	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	9
Bowyn Beatty	F	18	4-8	1-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	9
Alex Kovatchev	G	25	3-4	2-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Bailey Nunn	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Austin Patterson	Guard	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	35	8-17	2-6	2-2	10	5	4	1	20
Dejour Reaves	G	28	6-11	2-3	2-3	1	1	0	0	16
Brock Wisne	F	24	5-7	0-1	1-1	2	0	1	0	11
Zach Bloch	G	24	3-7	2-6	3-3	1	0	0	0	11
Langston Reynolds	G	19	3-7	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	1	7
Jaron Rillie	Guard	30	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	6	1	0	6
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	22	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Theo Hughes	Center	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Juju Ramirez	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Connor Creech	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

121.0Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency121.0

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

60.0%Effective FG%57.6%

61.8%True Shooting %59.9%

13.2%Turnover Rate6.3%

21.8%Free Throw Rate18.6%

45.5%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.