Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.6%Portland State

27.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -265

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 78

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricNorthern Arizona

50.2MMH Power Index36.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency107.1

100.2Defensive Efficiency114.8

9.1Net Efficiency-7.7

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

70.1Tempo66.6

51.7%Effective FG%53.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.4Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.3–107.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–114.8), net efficiency (9.1–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–51.7), ball security (15.8–16.6).

Final

Portland State

65—84

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 19 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

25-63FG30-71

40.0%FG%42.0%

3-183PT6-21

17.0%3PT%29.0%

12-17FT18-28

71.0%FT%64.0%

40Rebounds46

11Offensive Rebounds16

5Assists15

15Turnovers6

2Steals9

6Blocks9

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ismail Habib	G	31	6-14	1-6	1-1	4	2	0	0	14
Isiah Kirby	Guard	24	5-10	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	12
Hunter Woods	Forward	27	3-7	1-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	10
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	20	3-6	0-0	2-4	0	1	1	0	8
Hayden Curtiss	Center	14	3-5	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	2	7
Cole Farrell	G	6	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	6
Bobby Harvey	Guard	30	2-8	1-6	0-1	4	0	1	1	5
Kendall Munson	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	17	0-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Basham	Forward	25	9-14	0-0	5-8	10	0	1	6	23
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	38	6-14	3-7	4-5	4	1	1	0	19
Oakland Fort	G	37	4-15	2-6	5-6	9	5	1	1	15
Jayden Jackson	G	26	4-9	0-0	2-3	4	0	2	0	10
Liam Lloyd	Guard	32	2-8	0-3	2-4	6	4	2	1	6
Diego Campisano	F	16	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
C.J. Ford	Guard	12	2-4	0-2	0-2	0	3	1	0	4
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

87.0Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency87.0

-25.4Net Efficiency25.4

42.1%Effective FG%46.5%

45.7%True Shooting %49.8%

20.0%Turnover Rate8.1%

27.0%Free Throw Rate39.4%

28.6%3-Point Rate29.6%

0.33Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.