Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Little Rock

44.1%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Indiana -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -127

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 70

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricSouthern Indiana

44MMH Power Index37.3

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency106.5

-5.2Net Efficiency-7.3

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

68.5Tempo66.7

50.3%Effective FG%45.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.6Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–37.3), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.2), net efficiency (-5.2–-7.3), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.0).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.5–108.2), ball security (17.4–18.7), offensive rebounding (32.2–32.1).

Final

Little Rock

77—75

Southern Indiana

Little Rock by 2 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

26-49FG19-59

53.0%FG%32.0%

4-163PT9-28

25.0%3PT%32.0%

21-37FT28-30

57.0%FT%93.0%

40Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists12

16Turnovers10

9Steals8

2Blocks—

23Fouls27

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	37	5-8	2-4	8-12	12	7	2	0	20
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	20	3-5	2-2	4-5	1	1	1	0	12
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	31	5-10	0-1	0-0	5	0	2	1	10
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	21	4-4	0-0	2-5	4	0	1	1	10
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	15	2-4	0-1	5-8	3	0	0	0	9
Bradley Douglas	G	23	1-5	0-3	2-4	1	3	2	0	4
Creed Williamson	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Cougar Downing	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	38	6-16	0-4	16-16	5	3	3	28
Jack Mielke	Forward	40	5-14	5-14	2-2	3	0	1	17
Javius Moore	Guard	27	5-7	4-5	1-2	2	0	0	15
Jack Campion	G	37	0-7	0-2	4-4	6	8	4	4
AJ Smith	F	14	1-7	0-3	2-2	5	0	0	4
Nick Hittle	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	4
Kiyron Powell	Center	14	1-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	3
Nolan Causwell	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Hall	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Sam Mervis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

101.4Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency101.4

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

57.1%Effective FG%39.8%

57.8%True Shooting %51.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate13.3%

75.5%Free Throw Rate50.8%

32.7%3-Point Rate47.5%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.