Washington

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Washington

60.9%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -156

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWashington 75

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Team Comparison

WashingtonMetricCalifornia

57.1MMH Power Index56.5

112.2Offensive Efficiency111.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

5.1Net Efficiency7.0

4.2Strength of Schedule2.8

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.7Tempo69.9

51.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

3.5Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–5.1), recent form (1.8–0.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.4).

Washington COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (112.2–111.8), strength of schedule (4.2–2.8).

Final

Washington

77—75

California

Washington by 2 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WashingtonTEAM STATCalifornia

26-69FG27-58

38.0%FG%47.0%

10-353PT8-21

29.0%3PT%38.0%

15-16FT13-22

94.0%FT%59.0%

44Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists13

10Turnovers7

5Steals6

1Blocks4

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keion Brooks Jr.	Forward	36	8-20	0-5	5-6	7	2	1	0	21
Anthony Holland	Guard	20	5-10	4-9	0-0	2	0	1	0	14
Moses Wood	Forward	37	2-10	2-8	7-7	5	1	0	0	13
Sahvir Wheeler	Guard	34	5-12	3-6	0-0	7	3	1	1	13
Braxton Meah	Center	12	2-5	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	0	7
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Koren Johnson	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	5	1	0	2
Paul Mulcahy	Guard	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	3	1	0	2

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	32	8-14	0-1	2-4	10	5	1	2	18
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	36	6-18	2-5	3-4	4	2	2	1	17
Jalen Cone	Guard	35	5-10	4-7	3-4	3	2	0	0	17
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	32	3-5	1-3	2-6	8	0	1	0	9
Jalen Celestine	G	22	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Grant Newell	F	20	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Gus Larson	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

109.8Offensive Efficiency107.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

44.9%Effective FG%53.4%

50.3%True Shooting %54.8%

14.0%Turnover Rate10.2%

23.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

50.7%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Washington won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.