UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%UC Davis

65.0%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -186

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Fullerton

48.4MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.5Net Efficiency1.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

72.4Tempo76.3

52.3%Effective FG%52.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

2.5Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

UC Davis

67—65

Cal State Fullerton

UC Davis by 2 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

17-49FG19-50

35.0%FG%38.0%

5-233PT9-26

22.0%3PT%35.0%

28-33FT18-23

85.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists11

8Turnovers15

12Steals4

2Blocks2

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	36	7-17	3-11	10-10	10	2	3	0	27
TY Johnson	Guard	28	3-8	1-3	7-8	5	3	4	0	14
Niko Rocak	F	27	3-5	0-0	5-6	3	0	1	1	11
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	20	1-6	1-4	4-4	5	1	1	0	7
Kane Milling	Guard	32	1-7	0-5	1-2	1	0	2	1	3
Ade Adebayo	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	19	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Francesco Borra	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Pablo Tamba	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Connor Sevilla	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	28	3-10	3-5	9-10	4	3	2	0	18
Beril Kabamba	Forward	25	3-7	1-3	4-4	7	2	0	1	11
Grayson Carper	Guard	24	4-8	3-7	0-1	5	0	0	0	11
DJ Brewton	Guard	34	1-8	0-3	2-3	4	2	1	0	4
Vincent Lee	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
John Mikey Square	Not Available	20	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	0	3
Zachary Visentin	Center	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Donovan Oday	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency100.3

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

39.8%Effective FG%47.0%

51.8%True Shooting %53.3%

12.0%Turnover Rate22.4%

67.3%Free Throw Rate46.0%

46.9%3-Point Rate52.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.