Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Wagner

84.7%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL138.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -554

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 64

Projected Total138.3

Projected ScoreMerrimack 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricMerrimack

42.9MMH Power Index53.7

105.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.2

-0.6Net Efficiency3.2

-5.0Strength of Schedule0.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

67.6Tempo64.4

50.2%Effective FG%49.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

31.6%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-0.4Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–42.9), offensive efficiency (106.4–105.5), defensive efficiency (103.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.2–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.2–49.3), offensive rebounding (34.0–24.7).

Final

Wagner

71—65

Merrimack

Wagner by 6 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATMerrimack

25-50FG23-54

50.0%FG%43.0%

3-83PT7-27

38.0%3PT%26.0%

18-23FT12-15

78.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds22

8Offensive Rebounds2

12Assists14

10Turnovers5

3Steals6

1Blocks4

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Council Jr.	G	40	5-14	1-2	4-4	13	1	2	0	15
Seck Zongo	Forward	22	5-7	0-0	5-9	7	0	0	1	15
Tahron Allen	Not Available	31	5-12	0-1	4-4	2	2	0	0	14
Julian Brown	Guard	40	2-4	1-1	4-4	4	1	1	0	9
Javier Ezquerra	G	40	3-6	1-4	1-2	4	7	0	0	8
Keyontae Lewis	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Tyje Kelton	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	29	9-11	3-3	5-6	2	2	0	4	26
Jordan McKoy	Guard	29	3-6	3-5	2-2	0	0	2	0	11
Jordan Derkack	G	33	3-9	0-3	2-4	7	6	1	0	8
Adam Clark	G	29	4-6	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	8
Samba Diallo	Forward	28	2-6	0-2	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Devon Savage	Guard	22	1-12	1-10	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Jaylen Stinson	G	19	0-1	0-1	2-2	5	3	1	0	2
Bryan Etumnu	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

111.8Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency111.8

9.4Net Efficiency-9.4

53.0%Effective FG%49.1%

58.3%True Shooting %53.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate7.8%

46.0%Free Throw Rate27.8%

16.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

Wagner won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.