Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Toledo

24.2%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -313

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 75

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricCentral Michigan

58.8MMH Power Index44

116.0Offensive Efficiency105.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

6.4Net Efficiency-5.1

2.3Strength of Schedule-0.5

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.8Tempo69.3

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

30.3%Free Throw Rate32.9%

4.5Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–44.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–105.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.0), net efficiency (6.4–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (32.9–30.3).

Final

Toledo

62—65

Central Michigan

Central Michigan by 3 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATCentral Michigan

21-62FG26-61

34.0%FG%43.0%

4-203PT3-13

20.0%3PT%23.0%

16-23FT10-15

70.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists12

8Turnovers11

4Steals4

1Blocks7

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	35	7-14	2-6	5-7	9	2	0	0	21
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	32	5-15	1-6	4-6	6	1	0	0	15
Tyler Cochran	G	32	3-11	0-2	4-5	10	3	2	0	10
Sam Lewis	G	17	2-6	0-2	1-3	1	0	0	1	5
Sonny Wilson	G	26	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	4
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Javan Simmons	F	31	1-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Bryce Ford	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Grgur Brcic	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ben Wight	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	37	7-18	1-1	5-6	9	3	0	0	20
Brian Taylor	Guard	38	5-13	0-2	3-3	15	1	2	2	13
Markus Harding	C	35	4-10	0-1	0-0	8	5	0	2	8
Aidan Rubio	G	23	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Derrick Butler	Guard	22	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Hunter Harding	C	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Cayden Vasko	G	21	1-4	0-3	0-1	3	2	0	0	2
Paul McMillan IV	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jemal Davis	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-3	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

85.5Offensive Efficiency89.7

89.7Defensive Efficiency85.5

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

37.1%Effective FG%45.1%

42.5%True Shooting %47.7%

10.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

37.1%Free Throw Rate24.6%

32.3%3-Point Rate21.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.