UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UNLV

69.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -223

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 81

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricColorado State

52.8MMH Power Index55.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.9

1.4Net Efficiency7.2

2.7Strength of Schedule0.4

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

71.4Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

1.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

UNLV

75—78

Colorado State

Colorado State by 3 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATColorado State

29-57FG27-55

51.0%FG%49.0%

5-153PT10-28

33.0%3PT%36.0%

12-13FT14-16

92.0%FT%88.0%

31Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists21

11Turnovers9

2Steals10

3Blocks2

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keylan Boone	Forward	33	8-17	1-4	4-4	8	1	0	2	21
Kalib Boone	Forward	30	5-8	0-0	4-4	5	3	1	1	14
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	35	5-8	1-2	0-0	4	8	0	0	11
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	17	3-4	0-0	4-5	0	1	0	0	10
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	34	4-8	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	8
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	19	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Justin Webster	Guard	30	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Brooklyn Hicks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	28	7-8	3-3	4-4	7	4	1	0	21
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	38	6-14	4-8	2-3	6	7	1	0	18
Joel Scott	Forward	29	7-9	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	14
Patrick Cartier	Forward	24	2-7	1-5	5-5	0	5	3	0	10
Josiah Strong	Guard	29	3-6	1-3	1-2	2	1	1	0	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	22	1-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Rashaan Mbemba	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Joe Palmer	Guard	20	0-5	0-5	0-0	3	2	2	1	0
Tavi Jackson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

114.7Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency114.7

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

55.3%Effective FG%58.2%

59.4%True Shooting %62.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate13.7%

22.8%Free Throw Rate29.1%

26.3%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.45Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.